I give Hendo a better chance than anyone else Jones has fought. Hendo's striking is not really overrated. He may not be the most technical, but it's a proven fact that when he connects, it's game over. We saw Rashad slip in and tag Jones a couple times in their fight. If those punches would have come from Hendo, it is far more likely that he could have capitalized on it.
I am by no means saying I think Hendo will win. I really think Jones will go in this fight smart and stay away from Hendo's big right hand. Shields handled Hendo well on the ground which gives us all reason to believe that Jones would have no problems with him on the ground.
I am saying however, that Jones is most like GSP in that the one way he is most likely to lose is by a big punch. Jones and GSP have very similar game plans, as they should since they're both Jackson fighters. I give Hendo a better chance than anyone Jones has fought thus far at winning, due to his punching power. It'll probably be Jones by TKO or sub in the 3rd or 4th after Hendo has wore himself out. Otherwise, it's going to a decision with Jones playing it GSP style and staying out of trouble.